How to forecast seasonal import demands

List of contents of this article:

• 1, Public Decision-Making System
• 2, What decision-making problems does the decision-making support system mainly solve
• 3, What is the common decision analysis system?
• 4、What does the decision-making analysis system include
• 5,How to forecast seasonal import demands Briefly describe the tasks of the decision-making system in the decision-making process

Decision-making system of public decision-making

1. The public decision-making system is an organization composed of institutions and personnel involved in decision-making System, including the government organization system and the non-governmental organization system. The subsystem information subsystem is composed of full-time personnel, equipment and relevant work procedures who master information technology, specializing in the collection, processing, transmission and storage of decision-making information.

2. The four major decision-making systems of administrative decision-making are: information system, staff system, decision-making system and monitoring system.

3. The system of public decision-making does not include: technical system Public decision-making: refers to the public groupThe decision made in the process of managing social public affairs is the primary link of public management and runs through the whole public management process.

4. The administrative decision-making system is an organizational system composed of institutions and personnel involved in decision-making. In terms of the government organization system, the decision-making system can be divided into several subsystems from vertical and horizontal directions.

What decision-making problems does the decision-making support system mainly solve

The types of system support are as follows: strategic planning: help management formulate long-term strategic plans, including market analysis, competitor analysis and resource evaluation, etc. Business decision-making: Assist middle managers to make decisions on daily business operations, such as production scheduling, inventory control and supply chain optimization.

Unstructured and semi-structured. The decision-making support system is a system developed on the basis of the management information system, which deepens the application concept of management information system. It mainly serves the management information system of high-level decision-making, solves unstructured and semi-structured decision-making problems, and makes the decision-making scheme better.

Expert System and DSThe combination of S makes full use of the advantages of expert system qualitative analysis and DSS quantitative analysis to form an intelligent decision support system IDSS, which improves the ability of DSS to support unstructured decision-making problems.

DSS is a management information system that solves unstructured problems and serves high-level decision-making. According to its functions, it can be divided into dedicated DSS, DSS tools and DSS generators. Dedicated DSS is a DSS to solve problems in a certain field. DSS tools refer to a certain language, a certain operating system, and a certain database system.

KB), knowledge base management system (KBMS) and reasoning machine are composed; the human-computer interaction part is the human-computer interaction interface of the decision support system, which is used to receive and check user requests, call the internal functional software of the system for decision-making services, so that model operation, data call and knowledge reasoning can be organically Solve decision-making problems in a unified and effective manner.

What is the common decision analysis system?

1. The decision-making analysis system is generally composed of an interactive language system, a problem system, a database, a model library, a method library and a knowledge base management system. In some specific decision support systems, there may be no separate knowledge base and its management system, but the model library and method library are usually necessary.

2. Decision Support System (DSS): It is used by experts and decision-makers to input a small amount of data analysis, process human-computer interaction, simulation, analysis, etc., and output special reports and decision-making analysis and query responses.

3. Decision support system (decisionsupportsystem, abbreviated as dss) is a computer application system that assists decision-makers in making semi-structured or unstructured decision-making through human-computer interaction through data, models and knowledge. It is an advanced information management system resulting from the development of the management information system (mis) to a higher level.

4. The smart city big data visualization decision-making analysis system can visualize and present various key data of the core system of urban operation, so as to provide management decision-making support including emergency command, urban management, public security, environmental protection, intelligent transportation, infrastructure and other fields, and then Realize intelligent urban management and operation.

5. Collect and analyze problems in the implementation of decision-making, especially when obstacles or deviate from the decision-making goal in the process of decision-making implementation, countermeasures should be proposed in a timely manner, so that decision-makers and executors can correct them in time and ensure the smooth implementation of public decision-making.

What does the decision-making analysis system include

Resource utilization decision-making. Decision-making about limiting factors. Decision-making of different process processing. 1 Decision-making on equipment purchase and update.

The operation mechanism of the decision-making center system includes problem identification, information collection, program formulation, risk assessment, decision-making implementation and effect evaluation. Information collection system The information collection system is the foundation of the leadership decision-making system. It is responsible for collecting, sorting out and analyzing various information and providing a scientific basis for decision-making.

The main content of project decision-making analysis and evaluation (I) The main content of feasibility study and its report (P10) 1. The main contents of the project feasibility study of enterprise investment and its report include: [Example 9] In the feasibility study stage, the investment required for the project should be estimated in detail, and the content is ( ).

Briefly describe the tasks of the decision-making system in the decision-making process

1. Determine the decision-making problem and the goal system. This is the direction of decision-making, and therefore it is also the primary and decisive task of leading the decision-making system.

2. Clarify the decision-making goals. Whether the decision-making goal is correct or not is directly related to the choice of decision-making plan and the success or failure of decision-making. ( 3) The design of organizational decision-making schemes. One of the characteristics of modern decision-making is the separation of "conspiracy" and "breakage". ( 4) Choose a decision-making plan.

3. Knowledge base system: It is a system for the acquisition, interpretation, representation, reasoning, management and maintenance of knowledge about rules, causality and experience.The acquisition of knowledge base system knowledge is a big problem, but the expert system, which is developed almost at the same time as DSS, has made progress in this regard.

4. The meaning of decision-making is: decision-making is the process in which managers choose a reasonable choice from several alternative action plans in order to solve problems or achieve certain goals and carry out the management activities of the selected results. The main steps of decision-making are: ask questions and determine goals. All decision-making starts from the problem.